Can recent history find the 2016 Caulfield Cup winner?
What can the last five runnings of the Caulfield Cup tell us to help find the winner of the 2016 Caulfield Cup on Saturday?
One thing stands out straight away, the last five winners and placegetters all raced over 2000m or more before running in the Caulfield Cup.
Of the winners, two were internationals who raced abroad before winning, Admire Rakti (2014) and Dunaden (2012). The other three winners all raced locally and came via the Caulfield Stakes at Caulfield or Turnbull Stakes at Flemington.
Mongolian Khan (2015) ran third in the Caulfield Stakes while Fawkner (2013) and Southern Speed (2011) ran 3rd and 4th respectively in the Turnbull Stakes.
Hartnell took out the 2016 Turnbull Stakes this year defeating Jameka and Tally in easy fashion. Preferment ran fourth in the Turnbull Stakes.
Winx beat Black Heart Bart and He Or She in the 2016 Caulfield Stakes last Saturday at Caulfield.
The last five years tells us that you should be looking for any horses that have raced over 2000m or more at its last start. If it placed or was close-up to the winner, then that’s another positive, particularly if in the Turnbull Stakes or Caulfield Stakes.
Horses who contested the George Main Stakes in Sydney and then ran well over 2000m or more next start are also worthy of consideration. The Craven Plate, Hill Stakes and Newcastle Cup are also worth investigating for any well performed horses heading to the Caulfield Cup.
2016 Caulfield Cup Odds
Caulfield Cup favourite is Jameka at $3.20, who finished runner-up over 2000m last start in the Turnbull Stakes.
Real Love is next in betting at $7.50, a last start winner of the JRA Cup (2040m) at Moonee Valley.
Scottish $8.00, won the Strensall Stakes (1799m) at York in the UK, while Exospheric $9.00 ran fifth in the Juddmonte International (2080m) at York.
Articus $10.00, Tally $11.00 and Sir Isaac Newton $13.00 all raced over 2000m or more last start and are in contention.
Check out the latest 2016 Caulfield Cup odds courtesy of online bookmaker Sportsbet.
Last 5 Caulfield Cup winners and placegetters
Below are the past five winners and placegetters in the Caulfield Cup including the last two starts before running in the race.
2015 Caulfield Cup
1st Mongolian Khan
4th Underwood Stakes (1800m) Group 1 Caulfield
3rd Caulfield Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Caulfield
2nd Trip To Paris
3rd Goodwood Cup (3219m) Group 2 Goodwood UK
5th Lonsdale Cup (3300m) Group 2 York UK
3rd Our Ivanhowe
9th Naturalism Stakes (2000m) Group 3 Caulfield
2nd The Bart Cummings (2520m) Group 3 Flemington
2014 Caulfield Cup
1st Admire Rakti
2nd Hansh Daishoten (3000m) Group 2 Hanshin
13th Tenno Sho (3200m) Group 1 Kyoto
2nd Rising Romance
7th George Main Stakes (1600m) Group 1 Randwick
2nd Craven Plate (2000m) Group 3 Randwick
3rd Lucia Valentina
6th George Main Stakes (1600m) Group 1 Randwick
1st Turnbull Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Flemington
2013 Caulfield Cup
1st Fawkner
5th George Main Stakes (1600m) Group 1 Randwick
3rd Turnbull Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Flemington
2nd Dandino
2nd Hardwicke Stakes (2400m) Group 2 Royal Ascot UK
1st USA St Leger (2700m) Grade 1 Arlington USA
3rd Dear Demi
3rd Underwood Stakes (1800m) Group 1 Caulfield
8th Turnbull Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Flemington
2012 Caulfield Cup
1st Dunaden
2nd Hawrdwicke Stakes (2400m) Group 2 Royal Ascot UK
6th King George V1 (2400m) Group 1 Royal Ascot UK
2nd Alcopop
7th JRA Cup (2040m) Group 3 Moonee Valley
2nd Caulfield Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Caulfield
3rd Lights Of Heaven
9th Chelmsford Stakes (1600m) Group 2 Warwick Farm
3rd Hill Stakes (2000m) Group 2 Randwick
2011 Caulfield Cup
1st Southern Speed
2nd Underwood Stakes (1800m) Group 1 Caulfield
4th Turnbull Stakes (2000m) Group 1 Flemington
2nd Green Moon
2nd Handicap (2000m) Flemington
1st Newcastle Cup (2300m) Group 3 Newcastle
3rd Tullamore
3rd Hill Stakes (2000m) Group 2 Rosehill
8th The Metropolitan (2400m) Group 1 Randwick
The 2016 Caulfield Cup will take place on Saturday 15th October 2016 at Caulfield Racecourse in Melbourne.
